Friday, September 5, 2024

China and Transparency

If we have one consistent theme on this blog in regards to relations with China, it is the necessity to stress more transparency in their military forces. This is a very positive development.
China has reported its 2007 military expenditures to the United Nations (UN), the second time it has done so since it started participating in the UN Military Budget Transparency Mechanism last year.

The report provides more information than the previous submission, including basic data of the country's military spend for the latest fiscal year. It also explained the main purpose of the expenditures.
It would be interesting to see that report, we wonder if they declare the number of submarines they have.

Why do we stress transparency as important? It is about content flows. The more information they release, the more connectivity in open channels are possible. The key to this development is the explained purpose aspect, intent is critical.

The Navy has been making plenty of obvious gestures lately that China is where the focus is. Will transparency from China change the Navy's perspective in this regard? Hard to tell. At some point, the political leadership in the US needs to define the status of the relationship between the US and China. It doesn't make sense to frame China as the clear and present danger in the future that defines the US Navy's operational posture, fleet constitution, and strategic priority for operational necessities while also making China the most important economic partner for the United States at the same time.

Grand Strategy, call your office.

F-16s In the News

While not Navy related, interesting news regarding sales of F-16s. First, Pakistan.
Howard Berman, D-Calif., chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and Nita Lowey, D-N.Y., chairwoman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on State, Foreign Operations and Related Programs, asked the Bush administration in late July not to shift $226.5 million in federal anti-terrorism aid to the Pakistani military, saying they feared the plan would impede efforts to stop terrorism and that they needed more time to study it.

"We are concerned that the administration's proposal to use military assistance to pay for the F-16 upgrades will divert funds from more productive counter-terrorism tools like helicopters, [tube-launched, anti-tank] missiles and night-vision goggles," Ber­man and Lowey said in a joint statement issued July 29. "We have requested a hold on the administration's planned reprogramming pending additional information. The hold ... will provide time for Congress to make a more considered judgement in consultation with the administration and the government of Pakistan."
Then Iraq.
The Iraqi government is seeking to buy 36 advanced F-16 fighters from the U.S., say American military officials familiar with the request, a move that could help reduce its reliance on U.S. air power and potentially allow more American forces to withdraw from the country than had been proposed.
Hard to find anything wrong with either issue. As far as I'm concerned, I want to see all that surplus money in Iraq being pumped into the US economy. If it's for military equipment that allows the Iraqi's take over for our troops and lets them come home, all the better.

As for Pakistan, Saturday is the election, but I doubt we will see much change in the policy Pakistan takes towards the tribes in the north anytime soon. Is there any evidence these are for supporting operations against the Taliban, or are these aircraft to be used along the border with India. In other words, good for Congress, ask questions.

We may sell the F-16s to Pakistan anyway, but nothing wrong with asking a whole bunch of questions first.

5th Fleet Focus: Order of Battle

Order of Battle in the 5th Fleet Area of Responsibility.

Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group

USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76)
USS Chancellorsville (CG 62)
USS Gridley (DDG 101)
USS Decatur (DDG 73)
USS Thach (FFG 43)
USS Springfield (SSN 761).


Peleliu Expeditionary Strike Group

USS Peleliu (LHA 5)
USS Dubuque (LPD 8)
USS Pearl Harbor (LSD 52)
USS Cape St. George (CG 71)
USS Benfold (DDG 65)
USS Halsey (DDG 97)


In Theater

Ocean 6
HDMS Absalon (L16)
FS Floreal (F730)
FS Nivôse (F732)
FS La Boudeuse (P683)
HMCS Iroquois (DDH 280)
HMCS Calgary (FFH 335)
HMCS Ville de Quebec (FFH 332)
USS Oak Hill (LSD 51)
HMS Chatham (F87)
HMS Lancaster (F229)
HMAS Parramatta (FFH 154)
HMAS Stuart (FFH 153)
USS Scout (MCM 8)
USS Gladiator (MCM 11)
USS Ardent (MCM 12)
USS Dexterous (MCM 13)
HMS Ramsay (M 110)
HMS Blyth (M 111)
HMS Atherstone (M38)
HMS Chiddingfold (M37)

Quick Update

Too much great stuff this week, and I still haven't found time to write a thing. Expect the blog to come out firing over the weekend and beyond. A few quick thoughts.

The Lincoln CSG is on the way out, but ended the deployment with a bang.
David Axe has done a remarkable job this week, both at Wired and on his personal blog.
Here come the hurricanes.
More stories on subs than we've seen in awhile.
Did you see what Winter said? It is certainly a season for change.
New Proceedings is out, I see a smart recommendation for a Navy version of the Nightstalkers.
Also in Proceedings, Ensign Jeff Vandenengel has a creative idea, worth critical thought.
Milan Vego is always a good read in AFJ.
How come every time the 5th fleet talks about stopping piracy, the number of ships hijacked goes up?


Sorry no links, but there will be, this is just a sample of stuff we will be discussing. And ya, the politics stuff needs to stay in the appropriate threads, because we are moving away from it and don't want to bring the baggage as we look ahead.

Wednesday, September 3, 2024

Out of Bounds

People are running to make a political issue out of this Bristol Palin pregnancy issue, sex ed vs abstinence only, as if one or the other is actually a solution, even as both have failing records of success. Whatever, both are seemingly irrelevant and failing political approaches to complex social youth behavior. Why do I care, because my time lately has been concentrated on my two daughters, they are 13 and 3 respectfully.

The coverage of the Palin family event has been appalling, but hardly surprising. Youth pregnancy is a huge problem in America, and while blaming 'sex ed' or 'abstinence only' might feel politically comforting as a position, neither will address the core problem.

I had Sex Ed in high school. I also grew up in a Southern Baptist Church (the 5x a week and twice on Sunday + Sunday School type). Like I said, my two daughters are 13 and 3 respectfully, but I am 32 and my wife just turned 31..., do the math. Sex Ed didn't stop me, nor stop my wife from getting pregnant, getting married, having a child, ...at age 17, before she graduated high school, college, or even law school.

I've spent the last 13 years experiencing and studying this issue, and this is my take. What is missing from this conversation? Perspective. Youth in America develop 3 character traits when growing up, and even more serious trouble follows the youth who never develop any of the traits. These traits develop in different order depending upon the person. They are maturity, judgment, and responsibility. Both my wife and I developed responsibility before we were mature or had good judgment. So be it, but her sense of responsibility led to her decision to keep our child, while my sense of responsibility led to my decision to ask her to marry me. We made these decisions on our own. Her father drove her to the abortion clinic to convince her to both abort the child, and throw my ass out. Lucky for me, no one tells a Cajun red headed woman what to do, they have too much independence to be intimidated. My father and mother warned me not to marry a 17 year old girl while I was at such a young age. I was a rebel and listening to my parents was optional in my world. We lacked the maturity and judgment necessary to prevent the situation we found ourselves in, but developed both quickly to deal with it in our way.

When I see people question the parental skills of the Palin's, I think of my mom and dad, and my wife’s parents as well. Boy did the Church have a low opinion of my parents after learning of my situation, particularly considering my father was a widely respected community leader, church leader, and nationally recognized business leader. At first instinct, the social butterflies at church immediately assumed it was a parent problem. It wasn't, my parents were great, so were hers. Her parents had it worse. My wife’s father was in academia and my wife’s mother was a teacher. My wife and her brother were the model children in every social circle, no one believed this could possibly happen. In the end our parents could not insure 100% our level or maturity or judgment, they could only give us as much as they could and hope it worked out.

It did. I've never been to college, I haven't had time because when at 19, married with children living in the shady parts of town, the only way to improve your situation is to work your way out of it. That is something I learned from my father. Dealing with adversity, which comes in many forms, I learned how to manage tough times from my mother. I didn't learn everything I needed to in order to always make the right decision as a teen, or demonstrate the maturity to handle each situation, but teenagers commonly don't.

Were my wife’s parents terrible in their role? You tell me, she graduated top 5 in her high school class of 350, married and a mother. She graduated top 20 in her college class, in a sorority, and who knows how many other activities, sometimes with our daughter there in tow. Law School, law review, moot court, internships in other states, and now an attorney in one of the largest firms in the US. Surely her parents did something right. Yea, she was a mom at 17, it happens a lot in America. It was rough for a few years before both of our families realized it wasn't about them. They didn't know, because everyone around them was constantly making it about them. I see the same thing repeated today on TV. The way the Palin parents have reacted... its admirable. The way people attempt to read their minds, or the minds of the youth involved, its disgustingly ignorant.

This isn't about abortion, because that wasn't the choice made. I have no idea if my wife is pro-life or pro-choice, she made her choice to keep our daughter and no one was ever going to change her mind, including her father whom she worships. We've never talked about abortion, I'll never ask. I certainly grew up pro life, but given what I've seen and done in my life I would never presume to judge the decisions made by other women. By 20 I no longer knew anyone I had known as a teen, but knew a large number of young parents, sometimes the only people understanding of our situation. There was certainly no shortage of teenage moms in Arkansas. Pro life and Pro choice is someone else’s political argument to make, what is never right is to assume that some political observer has a role in deciding which choice is right or wrong for someone else’s situation, as is the case with this Palin girl. I believe the same advice would be true if she was having an abortion.

I can only highlight that the suggestion you cannot be a young parent and still complete your dreams is limited only to ones own maturity, judgment, and responsibility. We did it, I note Obama's mom didn't do too bad, the assumption the Palin's can't manage the problem is remarkably stupid.

Sex Ed, yep I had it, Clinton public education had plenty of it, Arkansas has plenty of young parents anyway... it doesn't work. Abstinence only? Doesn't work, youth will do what they want to do. The key is absolutely what we teach, but we have to teach the right things.

If this country wants to get serious about the social problems in today's youth, whether it is sex, drugs, crime, or violence... you focus on the character of culture, not the behavior of individuals which is unique anyway. Behavior is a product of culture. Teach judgment, teach maturity, and teach responsibility... everywhere consistently, and the cultures that ill youth in this country will change. We assume answering multiple choice tests teaches judgment, we assume homework teaches responsibility, and we assume that knowledge alone without simulation and exposure to experience will develop maturity. We assume too much.

It is very disappointing that both Obama and McCain want to punt on such an important issue. It isn't about Bristol Palin, the problem is bigger than one family. Approaching sex, drugs, violence, and crime as individual problems with specific tactical approaches is a failing strategy. Address the culture issue. Teach good decision making, educate adult behavior (qualities like patience in difficult situations), and enforce personal responsibility of the youth. If we do that, our nation will have more success dealing with these problems. The political ideas of our time are too simplistic for our nations complicated problems, leaders need to step up, or be voted out.

Update: Turns out I'm not the only one who sees something familiar when looking at the Palin family. I couldn't hold back my thoughts either.